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On the fifth day of the Iran conflict, it is still unclear whether the situation will develop into a short, rapid military campaign — as some political leaders hope — or an extended conflict.

What is already clear, however, is that international freight transport is beginning to feel the effects.

Global logistics systems are highly sensitive to geopolitical tensions. The current situation is unfolding in a region that hosts one of the most critical maritime trade corridors in the world.

The team at INCON-LOGISTIC Kft. has summarized the most important developments.

The period from 2022 to 2025 clearly showed that the transport market and road freight segments do not operate linearly. An initial growth momentum was followed by industrial slowdown, then signs of stabilization emerged — though not equally across all segments. In 2026, the question is not whether the market is difficult, but how each logistics player adapts to the changed environment.